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Table 4 Sensitivity analysis: Vanuatu

From: The case for investing in family planning in the Pacific: costs and benefits of reducing unmet need for contraception in Vanuatu and the Solomon Islands

Key alternative assumptions

Vanuatu

All needs met by 2050

All needs met by 2020

Total number of unintended pregnancies averted 2010-2025

Cost per unintended pregnancy averted (US$)

Total number of maternal and infant deaths averted 2010-2025

Cost per death averted (US$)

Total family planning costs 2010-2025 (US$)

Total public sector savings 2010–2025 (US$)

Total number of unintended pregnancies averted 2010-2025

Cost per unintended pregnancy averted (US$)

Total number of maternal and infant deaths averted 2010–2025

Cost per death averted (US$)

Total family planning costs 2010–2025 (US$)

Total public sector savings 2010–2025 (US$)

Base case

33,602

$135

950

$4,790

$4,550,755

$51,054,348

49,922

$104

1,321

$3,928

$5,188,506

$81,696,290

Unmet need for contraception (28 – 33%)

31,353 – 37,004

$127 – $142

891 – 1,037

$4,527 –$5,000

$4,455,206 – $4,694,071

$47,331,683 – $56,739,129

46,602 – 54,912

$98 - $108

1,244 – 1,433

$3,766 – $4,059

$5,049,667 – $5,396,741

$75,778,322 – $90,721,234

Constant rate of reduction of unmet need

11,009

$327

338

$10,663

$3,604,082

$12,840,011

39,097

$122

1051

$$4,428

$4,759,294

$49,176,915

Constant contraceptive method mix

33,252

$138

949

$4,824

$4,578,332

$50,916,264

49,400

$106

1,321

$3,955

$5,223,927

$81,481,832

Constant age-specific fertility rate

33,573

$136

949

$4,795

$4,550,770

$51,070,751

49,883

$104

1,320

$3,931

$5,188,521

$81,730,979

Direct family planning costs +/−25%

33,602

$102 – $169

950

$3,593 – $5,988

$3,413,066 – $5,688,444

$50,695,941 –$51,412,755

49,922

$78 -– $130

1,321

$2,946 – $4,910

$3,891,379 – $6,485,632

$81,178,445 – $82,214,135

Recurrent public sector expenditure +/−25%

33,602

$135

950

$4,790

$4,550,755

$37,932,354 –$64,176,342

49,922

$104

1,321

$3,928

$5,188,506

$60,754,373 –$102,638,206

Discounting (0 – 5%)

28,366 – 44,103

$131 – $138

804 – 1241

$4,644 – $4,901

$3,940,312 – $5,762,703

$40,726,168 – $72,681,695

42,527 – 64,658

$101 – $106

1,128 – 1,705

$3,843 –$3,989

$4,500,054 – $6,552,595

$65,372,266 – $115,790,286