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Table 4 Sensitivity analysis: Vanuatu

From: The case for investing in family planning in the Pacific: costs and benefits of reducing unmet need for contraception in Vanuatu and the Solomon Islands

Key alternative assumptions Vanuatu
All needs met by 2050 All needs met by 2020
Total number of unintended pregnancies averted 2010-2025 Cost per unintended pregnancy averted (US$) Total number of maternal and infant deaths averted 2010-2025 Cost per death averted (US$) Total family planning costs 2010-2025 (US$) Total public sector savings 2010–2025 (US$) Total number of unintended pregnancies averted 2010-2025 Cost per unintended pregnancy averted (US$) Total number of maternal and infant deaths averted 2010–2025 Cost per death averted (US$) Total family planning costs 2010–2025 (US$) Total public sector savings 2010–2025 (US$)
Base case 33,602 $135 950 $4,790 $4,550,755 $51,054,348 49,922 $104 1,321 $3,928 $5,188,506 $81,696,290
Unmet need for contraception (28 – 33%) 31,353 – 37,004 $127 – $142 891 – 1,037 $4,527 –$5,000 $4,455,206 – $4,694,071 $47,331,683 – $56,739,129 46,602 – 54,912 $98 - $108 1,244 – 1,433 $3,766 – $4,059 $5,049,667 – $5,396,741 $75,778,322 – $90,721,234
Constant rate of reduction of unmet need 11,009 $327 338 $10,663 $3,604,082 $12,840,011 39,097 $122 1051 $$4,428 $4,759,294 $49,176,915
Constant contraceptive method mix 33,252 $138 949 $4,824 $4,578,332 $50,916,264 49,400 $106 1,321 $3,955 $5,223,927 $81,481,832
Constant age-specific fertility rate 33,573 $136 949 $4,795 $4,550,770 $51,070,751 49,883 $104 1,320 $3,931 $5,188,521 $81,730,979
Direct family planning costs +/−25% 33,602 $102 – $169 950 $3,593 – $5,988 $3,413,066 – $5,688,444 $50,695,941 –$51,412,755 49,922 $78 -– $130 1,321 $2,946 – $4,910 $3,891,379 – $6,485,632 $81,178,445 – $82,214,135
Recurrent public sector expenditure +/−25% 33,602 $135 950 $4,790 $4,550,755 $37,932,354 –$64,176,342 49,922 $104 1,321 $3,928 $5,188,506 $60,754,373 –$102,638,206
Discounting (0 – 5%) 28,366 – 44,103 $131 – $138 804 – 1241 $4,644 – $4,901 $3,940,312 – $5,762,703 $40,726,168 – $72,681,695 42,527 – 64,658 $101 – $106 1,128 – 1,705 $3,843 –$3,989 $4,500,054 – $6,552,595 $65,372,266 – $115,790,286