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Table 2 Summary of projected outcomes for three countries

From: Context-specific, evidence-based planning for scale-up of family planning services to increase progress to MDG 5: health systems research

Region outcome Indonesia Philippines Nepal
  Merauke Pontianak Sikka Tasikmalaya Pasay city East Samar North Samar Terai Hills Mountains
Unmet need (modern method)           
 baseline - target % 30.5 – 21.7 27.8 – 8.1 60.7 – 25.3 22.9 – 10.5 21.3 – 17.3 33 – 25.9 55.5 – 25.9 16.5 – 11.4 29.3 – 24.5 20.4 – 12.5
 10% range on target 20.9 – 22.6 6.1 – 10.1 21.8 – 28.9 9.3 – 11.8 16.9 – 17.7 25.3 – 26.7 23 – 28.9 10.8 – 11.8 24 – 25 11.7 – 13.3
 % reduction   8.7 % 19.7 % 35.3 % 12.4 % 4 % 7 % 29.6 % 5.1 % 4.7 % 7.9 %
Maternal mortality rate           
 % reduction   9.4 % 21.6 % 27.9 % 13.9 % 3.4 % 6.9 % 14.1 % 7.8 % 5.2 % 10 %
 10% uncertainty range 8.4 – 10.3 19.4 – 23.8 25.1 – 30.7 12.4 – 15.3 3.1 – 3.6 6.4 – 7.5 12.8 – 15.5 7.1 – 8.6 4.7 – 5.7 9 – 11
MMR           
 % reduction   0.9 % 2.6 % 1.9% 1.0 % Not calculated as abortion is not reported as a cause of maternal death. 1.7 % 0.8 % 2 %
 10% uncertainty range 0.8 – 1.0 2.2 – 2.9 1.6– 2.1 0.7 – 1.1 1.6 – 1.9 0.7 – 0.8 1.8 – 2.3
Annual health expenditure, per capita           
 Equivalent USD   National 77 (2010) [57] National 77 (2010) [57] National 29 (2010) [57]
Total marginal cost per capita            
 Equivalent USD   1.14 1.0 0.39 0.19 0.39 1.34 0.68 0.32 0.26 0.42
 10% uncertainty range 1.15 – 1.13 0.99 – 1.0 0.38 – 0.40 0.20 – 0.19 0.38 – 0.39 1.32 – 1.35 0.67 – 0.69 0.32 – 0.32 0.26 – 0.26 0.42 – 0.41
Marginal cost per capita, by category § (equivalent USD)           
 Capital   0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.002 0.03 0.02 0.06 0.11 0.18
 Human resources, recurrent per annum 1.11 0.001 0.20 0.10 0.01 0.92 0.43 0.34 0.15 0.23
 Programmatic costs, recurrent per annum 0.10 0.82 0.23 0.14 0.02 0.02 0.08 0.01 0.02 0.03
 Drugs and medical supplies, recurrent per annum −0.09 0.17 −0.05 −0.05 0.35 0.37 0.15 −0.08 −0.02 −0.02
  1. * Conversions: Indonesian Rupiah 2011 average USD 1 = 8500 IDR; Philippines Pesos 2010 average US 1 = 45.09 PHP; Nepalese Rupee not used.
  2. § Categories: Capital – upfront and pre-service training, infrastructure, other health system assets. Human resources – salaries, incentives, allowances, refresher training. Programmatic – intervention specific strategies and activities such as information, education and communication and behaviour change promotion, family planning program monitoring, supervision and evaluation. Drugs and medical supplies – commodities, buffer stock, medical supplies.