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Table 2 Summary of projected outcomes for three countries

From: Context-specific, evidence-based planning for scale-up of family planning services to increase progress to MDG 5: health systems research

Region outcome

Indonesia

Philippines

Nepal

 

Merauke

Pontianak

Sikka

Tasikmalaya

Pasay city

East Samar

North Samar

Terai

Hills

Mountains

Unmet need (modern method)

          

 baseline - target %

30.5 – 21.7

27.8 – 8.1

60.7 – 25.3

22.9 – 10.5

21.3 – 17.3

33 – 25.9

55.5 – 25.9

16.5 – 11.4

29.3 – 24.5

20.4 – 12.5

 10% range on target

20.9 – 22.6

6.1 – 10.1

21.8 – 28.9

9.3 – 11.8

16.9 – 17.7

25.3 – 26.7

23 – 28.9

10.8 – 11.8

24 – 25

11.7 – 13.3

 % reduction

 

8.7 %

19.7 %

35.3 %

12.4 %

4 %

7 %

29.6 %

5.1 %

4.7 %

7.9 %

Maternal mortality rate

          

 % reduction

 

9.4 %

21.6 %

27.9 %

13.9 %

3.4 %

6.9 %

14.1 %

7.8 %

5.2 %

10 %

 10% uncertainty range

8.4 – 10.3

19.4 – 23.8

25.1 – 30.7

12.4 – 15.3

3.1 – 3.6

6.4 – 7.5

12.8 – 15.5

7.1 – 8.6

4.7 – 5.7

9 – 11

MMR

          

 % reduction

 

0.9 %

2.6 %

1.9%

1.0 %

Not calculated as abortion is not reported as a cause of maternal death.

1.7 %

0.8 %

2 %

 10% uncertainty range

0.8 – 1.0

2.2 – 2.9

1.6– 2.1

0.7 – 1.1

1.6 – 1.9

0.7 – 0.8

1.8 – 2.3

Annual health expenditure, per capita

          

 Equivalent USD

 

National 77 (2010) [57]

National 77 (2010) [57]

National 29 (2010) [57]

Total marginal cost per capita

           

 Equivalent USD

 

1.14

1.0

0.39

0.19

0.39

1.34

0.68

0.32

0.26

0.42

 10% uncertainty range

1.15 – 1.13

0.99 – 1.0

0.38 – 0.40

0.20 – 0.19

0.38 – 0.39

1.32 – 1.35

0.67 – 0.69

0.32 – 0.32

0.26 – 0.26

0.42 – 0.41

Marginal cost per capita, by category § (equivalent USD)

          

 Capital

 

0.02

0.01

0.01

0.01

0.002

0.03

0.02

0.06

0.11

0.18

 Human resources, recurrent per annum

1.11

0.001

0.20

0.10

0.01

0.92

0.43

0.34

0.15

0.23

 Programmatic costs, recurrent per annum

0.10

0.82

0.23

0.14

0.02

0.02

0.08

0.01

0.02

0.03

 Drugs and medical supplies, recurrent per annum

−0.09

0.17

−0.05

−0.05

0.35

0.37

0.15

−0.08

−0.02

−0.02

  1. * Conversions: Indonesian Rupiah 2011 average USD 1 = 8500 IDR; Philippines Pesos 2010 average US 1 = 45.09 PHP; Nepalese Rupee not used.
  2. § Categories: Capital – upfront and pre-service training, infrastructure, other health system assets. Human resources – salaries, incentives, allowances, refresher training. Programmatic – intervention specific strategies and activities such as information, education and communication and behaviour change promotion, family planning program monitoring, supervision and evaluation. Drugs and medical supplies – commodities, buffer stock, medical supplies.
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Reproductive Health

ISSN: 1742-4755