Table 1 Factors affecting TFR level in 2015–16 and the relative change in TFR during 1998 to 2016

District characteristics

% of Currently married women who were:

Bivariate model:

Multivariate model:

B-coefficient (Std.Error; p-value)

B-coefficient (Std.Error; p-value)

Not attended school

0.040 (0.004; 0.000)

0.034 (0.007; 0.000)

Urban residents

−0.014 (0.003; 0.000)

−0.001 (0.004; 0.807)

Muslim

0.011 (0.005; 0.030)

−0.000 (0.005; 0.932)

Schedule caste

−0.004 (0.010; 0.674)

−0.007 (0.007; 0.348)

Poor wealth quintile

0.015 (0.003; 0.000)

0.005 (0.005; 0.349)

Model fit (R²)

0.6319

Among currently married women in districts:

% Change in women with schooling

0.655 (0.144; 0.000)

0.559 (0.179; 0.003)

% Change in urbanization level

0.110 (0.096; 0.258)

−0.155 (0.098; 0.118)

% Change in Muslim population

−0.175 (0.128; 0.177)

−0.053 (0.119; 0.658)

% Change in Schedule Caste population

−0.258 (0.189; 0.177)

−0.164 (0.173; 0.347)

Baseline level of fertility

10.059 (2.032; 0.000)

7.332 (2.085; 0.001)

Model fit (R²)

0.3865