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Table 1 Trends in residence and adolescent childbirth among Ugandan women age 20–24 years, UDHS 1988/9–2016

From: Trends and determinants of adolescent childbirth in Uganda- analysis of rural and urban women using six demographic and health surveys, 1988–2016

UDHS (Data collection)

Category

1988/89

1995

2000/01

2006

2011

2016

N = 985%(95%CI)

N = 1555%(95%CI)

N = 1504%(95%CI)

N = 1710%(95%CI)

N = 1629%(95%CI)

N = 3822%(95%CI)

Rural residence

86.7

84.1

80.2

78.0

74.5

70.1

(84.3–88.8)

(81.3–86.5)

(76.9–83.1)

(74.6–81.1)

(70.6–78.0)

(67.0–73.0)

Urban residence

13.3

15.9

19.8

22.0

25.5

29.9

(11.2–15.7)

(13.5–18.7)

(16.9–23.1)

(18.9–25.4)

(22.0–29.4)

(27.0–33.0)

No birth < 20 yrs

32.5

33.6

29.9

37.7

42.7

45.9

(29.0–36.2)

(30.9–36.4)

(26.9–33.1)

(34.8–40.7)

(39.4–46.2)

(43.8–48.0)

1st birth 18–19.9 yrs

25.8

27.3

28.2

27.0

24.2

25.8

(23.3–28.5)

(24.5–30.3)

(25.8–30.7)

(24.6–29.6)

(21.9–26.7)

(24.1–27.5)

1st birth < 18 years

41.7

39.1

41.9

35.2

33.0

28.4

(38.0–45.5)

(36.0–42.3)

(38.6–45.4)

(32.7–37.9)

(30.1–36.1)

(26.6–30.2)

Percent-point changes (pp) in adolescent childbirth by intervals (p-value)

Intervals

1988/89–1995

1995–2000/01

2000/01–2006

2006–2011

2011–2016

1988–2000/01

No birth < 20 years

+ 1.1 (0.566)

−3.7 (0.028)

+ 7.8 (< 0.001)

+ 5.0 (0.003)

+ 3.2 (0.030)

− 2.6 (0.170)

1st birth 18–19.9 years

+ 1.5 (0.405)

+ 0.9 (0.578)

−1.2 (0.447)

− 2.8 (0.064)

+ 1.6 (0.214)

+ 2.4 (0.189)

1st birth < 18 years

− 2.6 (0.193)

+ 2.8 (0.115)

−6.7 (< 0.001)

−2.2 (0.180)

−4.6 (< 0.001)

+ 0.2 (0.921)

   

2000/01–2016

  

1988/89–2016

No birth < 20 years

  

+ 16.0 (< 0.001)

  

+ 13.4 (< 0.001)

1st birth 18–19.9 years

  

−2.4 (0.074)

  

0.0 (1.000)

1st birth < 18 years

  

−13.5 (< 0.001)

  

−13.3 (< 0.001)