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Table 1 Trends in residence and adolescent childbirth among Ugandan women age 20–24 years, UDHS 1988/9–2016

From: Trends and determinants of adolescent childbirth in Uganda- analysis of rural and urban women using six demographic and health surveys, 1988–2016

UDHS (Data collection)
Category 1988/89 1995 2000/01 2006 2011 2016
N = 985%(95%CI) N = 1555%(95%CI) N = 1504%(95%CI) N = 1710%(95%CI) N = 1629%(95%CI) N = 3822%(95%CI)
Rural residence 86.7 84.1 80.2 78.0 74.5 70.1
(84.3–88.8) (81.3–86.5) (76.9–83.1) (74.6–81.1) (70.6–78.0) (67.0–73.0)
Urban residence 13.3 15.9 19.8 22.0 25.5 29.9
(11.2–15.7) (13.5–18.7) (16.9–23.1) (18.9–25.4) (22.0–29.4) (27.0–33.0)
No birth < 20 yrs 32.5 33.6 29.9 37.7 42.7 45.9
(29.0–36.2) (30.9–36.4) (26.9–33.1) (34.8–40.7) (39.4–46.2) (43.8–48.0)
1st birth 18–19.9 yrs 25.8 27.3 28.2 27.0 24.2 25.8
(23.3–28.5) (24.5–30.3) (25.8–30.7) (24.6–29.6) (21.9–26.7) (24.1–27.5)
1st birth < 18 years 41.7 39.1 41.9 35.2 33.0 28.4
(38.0–45.5) (36.0–42.3) (38.6–45.4) (32.7–37.9) (30.1–36.1) (26.6–30.2)
Percent-point changes (pp) in adolescent childbirth by intervals (p-value)
Intervals 1988/89–1995 1995–2000/01 2000/01–2006 2006–2011 2011–2016 1988–2000/01
No birth < 20 years + 1.1 (0.566) −3.7 (0.028) + 7.8 (< 0.001) + 5.0 (0.003) + 3.2 (0.030) − 2.6 (0.170)
1st birth 18–19.9 years + 1.5 (0.405) + 0.9 (0.578) −1.2 (0.447) − 2.8 (0.064) + 1.6 (0.214) + 2.4 (0.189)
1st birth < 18 years − 2.6 (0.193) + 2.8 (0.115) −6.7 (< 0.001) −2.2 (0.180) −4.6 (< 0.001) + 0.2 (0.921)
    2000/01–2016    1988/89–2016
No birth < 20 years    + 16.0 (< 0.001)    + 13.4 (< 0.001)
1st birth 18–19.9 years    −2.4 (0.074)    0.0 (1.000)
1st birth < 18 years    −13.5 (< 0.001)    −13.3 (< 0.001)