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Table 2 Levels and percent-point changes in adolescent childbirth among Ugandan women aged 20–24 - RURAL residents

From: Trends and determinants of adolescent childbirth in Uganda- analysis of rural and urban women using six demographic and health surveys, 1988–2016

UDHS (Data collection)
  1988/89N = 854%(95%CI) 1995N = 1307%(95%CI) 2000/01N = 1206%(95%CI) 2006N = 1334%(95%CI) 2011N = 1213%(95%CI) 2016N = 2678%(95%CI)
No birth < 20 years 30.1 31.1 25.2 31.9 36.4 39.4
(26.4–34.1) (28.0–34.3) (21.7–28.9) (29.0–35.0) (32.5–40.4) (37.1–41.8)
1st birth 18–19.9 years 26.1 27.1 29.9 29.4 27.4 27.9
(23.3–29.1) (23.9–30.5) (27.0–32.8) (26.5–32.4) (24.7–30.2) (26.0–29.8)
1st birth < 18 years 43.8 41.8 45.0 38.7 36.2 32.7
(39.7–48.0) (38.2–45.5) (41.0–49.0) (35.8–41.6) (32.6–40.0) (30.5–34.9)
Percent-point changes (pp) in adolescent childbirth by intervals (p-value)
Intervals 1988/89–1995 1995–2000/01 2000/01–2006 2006–2011 2011–2016 1988–2000/01
No birth < 20 years + 1.0 (0.622) −5.9 (0.001) + 6.7 (< 0.001) + 4.5 (0.017) + 3.0 (0.075) −4.9 (0.014)
1st birth 18–19.9 years + 1.0 (0.608) + 2.8 (0.120) −0.5 (0.783) −2.0 (0.264) + 0.5 (0.747) + 3.8 (0.059)
1st birth < 18 years − 2.0 (0.358) + 3.2 (0.106) −6.3 (0.001) − 2.5 (0.193) −3.5 (0.033) + 1.2 (0.589)
    2000/01–2016    1988/89–2016
No birth < 20 years    + 14.2 (< 0.001)    + 9.3 (< 0.001)
1st birth 18–19.9 years    −2.0 (0.202)    + 1.8 (0.305)
1st birth < 18 years    −12.3 (< 0.001)    −11.1 (< 0.001)