Table 2 Utility estimates from Hierarchical Bayes models
HB Model 1: India | HB Model 2: Nigeria | HB Model 3: Nigeria | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Attribute levels | B | SD | 95% CI | B | SD | 95% CI | B | SD | 95% CI | ||
No pain at application | 13.0 | 23.0 | (11.0, 15.0) | 33.0 | 32.2 | (30.2, 35.7) | 58.5 | 38.0 | (54.9, 62.2) | ||
Light prick | 3.8 | 22.1 | (1.8, 5.7) | − 1.9 | 24.5 | (− 4.0, 0.2) | − 4.4 | 20.3 | (− 6.4, − 2.5) | ||
Hard prick | − 16.8 | 24.2 | (− 18.9, − 14.6) | − 31.0 | 30.0 | (− 33.6, − 28.5) | − 54.1 | 37.4 | (− 57.7, − 50.5) | ||
One day rash | 20.8 | 20.6 | (19.0, 22.6) | 10.7 | 12.6 | (9.7, 11.8) | 25.2 | 20.8 | (23.2, 27.2) | ||
Three day rash | − 20.8 | 20.6 | (− 22.6, − 19.0) | − 10.7 | 12.6 | (− 11.8, − 9.7) | − 25.2 | 20.8 | (− 27.2, − 23.2) | ||
Foot application | 4.1 | 20.4 | (2.3, 5.9) | − 9.1 | 19.2 | (− 10.8, − 7.5) | − 12.7 | 30.4 | (− 15.7, − 9.8) | ||
Knee application | − 10.6 | 25.2 | (− 12.8, − 8.4) | − 0.5 | 28.2 | (− 2.9, 1.9) | 12.1 | 31.3 | (9.1, 15.1) | ||
Wrist application | 6.5 | 25.9 | (4.2, 8.8) | 9.7 | 24.1 | (7.6, 11.7) | 0.7 | 27.0 | (− 1.9, 3.3) | ||
Small size | 7.5 | 25.6 | (5.2, 9.7) | 8.1 | 20.5 | (6.4, 9.9) | 17.3 | 25.0 | (14.8, 19.7) | ||
Medium size | 0.2 | 18.3 | (− 1.5, 1.8) | 6.0 | 16.9 | (4.6, 7.5) | 3.7 | 13.1 | (2.4, 4.9) | ||
Large size | − 7.6 | 21.9 | (− 9.6, − 5.7) | − 14.2 | 23.4 | (− 16.2, − 12.2) | − 20.9 | 27.4 | (− 23.5, − 18.3) | ||
One month duration | − 30.3 | 38.7 | (− 33.7, − 26.9) | − 59.9 | 73.5 | (− 66.2, − 53.7) | − 96.8 | 82.8 | (− 104.8, − 88.9) | ||
Three month duration | 0.7 | 20.4 | (− 1.1, 2.5) | 11.3 | 18.8 | (9.7, 12.8) | 13.5 | 18.8 | (11.7, 15.3) | ||
Six month duration | 29.7 | 30.5 | (27.0, 32.3) | 48.7 | 66.4 | (43.0, 54.3) | 83.3 | 78.1 | (75.8, 90.8) | ||
Regular menses | 177.0 | 84.7 | (169.5, 184.4) | 114.3 | 80.8 | (107.4, 121.2) | |||||
Irregular menses | − 45.9 | 39.3 | (− 49.4, − 42.4) | − 52.0 | 65.0 | (− 57.6, − 46.5) | |||||
Amenorrhea | − 131.1 | 71.1 | (− 137.3, − 124.8) | − 62.3 | 101.3 | (− 70.9, − 53.7) | |||||
Interactions | |||||||||||
1 mo x Regular | − 41.2 | 26.3 | (− 43.5, − 38.9) | ||||||||
1 mo x Irregular | 7.2 | 15.9 | (5.8, 8.6) | ||||||||
1 mo x Amenorrhea | 34.0 | 33.7 | (31.0, 37.0) | ||||||||
3 mo x Regular | 1.5 | 15.8 | (0.1, 2.9) | ||||||||
3 mo x Irregular | 3.4 | 18.4 | (1.8, 5.0) | ||||||||
3 mo x Amenorrhea | − 4.9 | 16.8 | (− 6.4, − 3.4) | ||||||||
6 mo x Regular | 39.7 | 25.0 | (37.5, 41.9) | ||||||||
6 mo x Irregular | − 10.6 | 20.9 | (− 12.4, − 8.8) | ||||||||
6 mo x Amenorrhea | − 29.1 | 27.1 | (− 31.4, − 26.7) | ||||||||
Model statistics | |||||||||||
Percent certainty | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | ||||||||
Fit statistic (RLH) | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | ||||||||
Covariates | 3 | 3 | 3 | ||||||||